Monday, August 25, 2008

Fay fizzles and Gustav grows

TS Fay and finally fizzled, after nearly a week of dumping unreal amounts on Florida and is finally heading off to the northeast, still sans rain, but at least now the drought stricken regions of the Southeast US will get to see some benefit.

But, the main topic of interest which sprung up on the radar this afternoon, is TS Gustav.
Gustav? These names, really need to be changed. Do you know anyone who has named their child Gustav in the past 4 decades? Or ever for that manner. A discussion for another day.

Gustav looked fairly organized over the weekend, and he approached the insurance lockdown box this morning, decided he'd one up fickle Fay. Fay teased storm watchers for 2 days before being even classified as a depression. Gustav woke up this morning, sipped some 85 degree Caribbean water, put on his slippers, dropped his minimum central pressure 10mb in 4 hours and developed a closed eyewall 30 miles wide, and decided to turn up the fan with winds now sustained at 60 mph.

It is far too early to have any faith in model runs, and we shouldn't have any kind of handle on what is going to happen until Wednesday. Remember, the stronger a system becomes, the most likely those storms are to seek out any weakness. Weak storms, such as Fay, meander around and tend to buck model trends. Stay tuned this week. If it's Labor Day in Florida, it must mean we're watching a hurricane somewhere!