Friday, October 16, 2009

Week 6 picks

As I mentioned last week, there were 5 tossup games. I mentioned I wanted to go with Cleveland but I went with Buffalo at home. That game really stunk, Cleveland won while Anderson completed 2 passes for the entire game. If I had sat in the stands for that game, I'd have demanded my money back. Then again, season ticket holders in Buffalo should demand all of their money back once Ralph Wilson decided to play two "home" game across the border in Canada. So, here we go with this weeks picks and a surprise upset special. I was 9-5 last week and the current record is 57-19 overall for the season.

Houston-Cincy. Cincy is one tipped ball in Denver away from being 5-0. Houston is not playing consistent football. Cincy wins in a shootout.

Detroit-Green Bay. Detroit is a much improved team over last year's offering. They have scored over 20 points in the last two games. Green Bay is coming off a bye and wins this game, but I wouldn't give the 13.5 points if you want to bet the spread.

Baltimore-Minnesota. After a record run of 30+ games, the Ravens surrendered a 100+ rusher last week. Cedric Benson. Yes, Cedric Benson ran for 136 yards and a score on the Ravens. Now here comes Adrian "All Day" Petersen. Flacco will need to air it out as the Williams wall will most likely contain the Ravens running attack. This will be a great game to watch, but Favre and company come out on top.

Cleveland-Pittsburgh. If you are reading this blog to make picks and can't see a given, you shouldn't be betting money. Steelers in a romp.

Carolina-Tampa Bay. This game is close because they both suck but Carolina's running game and a long touchdown pass to Steve Smith does the Bucs in, again.

Kansas City-Washington. This is my upset special. Bowe is starting to get dialed in with Cassell who is starting his third game after missing a few with injury. Washington is not a good team. They beat Tampa at home and beat the Rams in St Louis by 3 points. Jim Zorn is scared, and I think the Chiefs beat the Crackheads by 10 this weekend. Jim Zorn is fired Monday morning.

St Louis-Jacksonville. Jacksonville is a 9 1/2 point favorite, take that bet because they will beat the Rams by 16 on Sunday.

Arizona-Seattle. Matt Hasslebeck is back under center, Arizona's pass defense is 29th in the league, Seattle is a tough place to play for visitors, especially when the weather will suck. Seattle starts their push for the NFC West division crown this week.

Philly-Oakland. McNabb throws another 3 td's and Philly covers the 14 point Vegas line.

Tennessee-New England. Tennessee was 13-3 last season, and at one point won 10 games in a row. Jeff Fisher is one hell of a NFL coach, but I have no idea what has happened to the Titans this past offseason. Their pass defense is horrible and this game will make Lord Brady look like Brady of 2007. How many children had he fathered then? I've lost count. Randy Moss and Wes Welker will have a field day this weekend at home.

Buffalo-NY Jets. Sanchez recovers after the loss in Miami on Monday night versus the Mullets. This will be the game where TO finally has a meltdown in the post game presser.

Chicago-Atlanta. This will be a close game, but Tony Gonzalez will exploit the loss of Brian Urlacher.

Monday night-
Denver-San Diego. Denver has come out of the gate strong, winning games they shouldn't have won(see Cincinnati) and beating weak opponents (see Dallas) and last week winning a game outright against the overrated Patriots in overtime. I don't see the Broncos going into San Diego this week, after a bye and beating the Chargers. Phillip Rivers should have a large game. 37-34 final score. Could Denver be a team which starts the season 5-0 and fails to miss the playoffs? I think so.

If you are betting points this week
Detroit-Green Bay-13 1/2 nope
Cleveland-Pittsburgh-14 yes yes yes
Philly-14-Oakland yes yes yes, hell yes
Jets-91/2- Buffalo yes.